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2024-12-13 04:30:25

World Meteorological Organization: The possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. The latest forecast released by the World Meteorological Organization on the 11th shows that the possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. It is expected that the intensity of La Nina will be weak and the duration will be short. According to the introduction of the World Meteorological Organization, the current El Niñ o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index is in a neutral state, which is neither El Niñ o nor La Nina. According to the forecast, from December 2024 to February 2025, the possibility of changing from the current neutral state to La Nina phenomenon is 55%. The forecast also shows that from February to April 2025, the possibility of returning to neutral state is 55%. (Xinhua News Agency)Analyst: The policy language of the European Central Bank has undergone major changes. Jana, a senior European economic analyst, said that the policy language of the European Central Bank has undergone major changes, and the wording about restrictive policies and inflation returning to the target has disappeared. Earlier, the statement of the European Central Bank mentioned: "The Management Committee is determined to ensure that inflation returns to the medium-term target of 2% in time. In order to achieve this goal, it will maintain sufficient interest rate restrictions for the necessary time. " Now, the only sentence left is: "The CMC is determined to ensure that inflation remains stable at the medium-term goal of 2%."Adobe(ADBE.O) fell by 12%, the biggest one-day drop since March 15th.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: The economy will strengthen over time.The US dollar just broke through the 7.2700 yuan mark against the offshore RMB, and the latest report was 7.2689 yuan, down 0.12% in the day; The US dollar against the onshore RMB was recently reported at 7.2688 yuan, up 0.10% in the day.After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.


Analyst: The policy language of the European Central Bank has undergone major changes. Jana, a senior European economic analyst, said that the policy language of the European Central Bank has undergone major changes, and the wording about restrictive policies and inflation returning to the target has disappeared. Earlier, the statement of the European Central Bank mentioned: "The Management Committee is determined to ensure that inflation returns to the medium-term target of 2% in time. In order to achieve this goal, it will maintain sufficient interest rate restrictions for the necessary time. " Now, the only sentence left is: "The CMC is determined to ensure that inflation remains stable at the medium-term goal of 2%."The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 9 basis points to 3.28%, the highest level since December 2.European Central Bank President Lagarde: National elections have also led to their own uncertainties.

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